TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 9:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between KT Wiz and SSG Landers, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It allows participants to speculate on whether a team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The result is determined purely by the final score of the game as played.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome markets all tied to the same baseball match between KT Wiz and SSG Landers, scheduled for August 23, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether one team wins by a specified run margin—either over 1.5 or over 2.5 runs. If KT Wiz achieves a victory by more than 1.5 runs, the third market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if KT Wiz wins by more than 2.5 runs, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if SSG Landers win by more than 1.5 runs, the second market resolves to Yes, and if they win by more than 2.5 runs, the first market resolves to Yes. No market resolves to Yes if the winning team’s margin is exactly 1, 2, or falls short of the specified thresholds. All markets share the same underlying game and time, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader dynamics and the way probabilities are aggregated. While sportsbooks set their lines based on sharp analysis and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing depending on recent performance, injuries, or other game-specific developments.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point differential from the game will settle all positions, and the result is locked in once official scores are published and confirmed across reliable sports news and league sources.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent performance trends can shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, weather conditions, home-field advantages, and any last-minute lineup updates may cause rapid shifts in odds as the game approaches. High trading volume of $3,770 often amplifies these movements, reflecting heightened interest or uncertainty among participants.