TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 6:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming baseball game between two teams. Each market corresponds to a different run differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends entirely on the final score of the game.
These markets resolve based on the run differential in the KT Wiz vs SSG Landers Korea KBO game scheduled for August 22, 2026. Four separate outcome thresholds exist: SSG Landers winning by over 2.5 runs, SSG Landers winning by over 1.5 runs, KT Wiz winning by over 1.5 runs, and KT Wiz winning by over 2.5 runs. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the winning team must exceed the specified run differential threshold. If the game is canceled, postponed, or otherwise not completed as scheduled, all markets will be voided. Kalshi explicitly states it has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating trader sentiment and real-time data. While sportsbooks set fixed lines based on analytics and risk, this market lets participants bet on the spread directly, sometimes showing sharper or contrarian views depending on recent performance and news.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the most probable spread result based on available information. The market price adjusts dynamically as new data emerges, allowing participants to trade at the best available odds set by other users.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread result is compared against official league records to determine the market outcome, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Several signals or events could shift this market before Aug 22, 2026. Key influences include player injuries or lineup changes, weather updates impacting game conditions, and strategic adjustments by coaches. Media coverage and expert analysis may also sway trader sentiment. As the game nears, early scoring patterns or momentum swings can cause rapid adjustments in the spread odds on Kalshi.