TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 8:50 AM EST
Kalshi
KT Wiz and Samsung Lions will engage in a college baseball contest where observers can wager on total runs crossing predetermined marks. The early morning start time underscores the international scheduling of the event.
Resolution hinges on the sum of runs scored by both participants in the game on Aug 29, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. Markets resolve to Yes if the final tally surpasses their individual benchmarks of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Kalshi emphasizes it is not officially linked to the governing league, and all logos and names are owned by their respective entities.
On Kalshi, traders in the KT Wiz Samsung Lions run total market set probabilities that often differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction markets reflect real-money bets and can adjust faster to new information, while sportsbooks incorporate broader public betting patterns and professional handicapping. The two can diverge due to different participant bases and risk models. For this market, comparing the current chance percentage to sportsbook over/under lines offers insight into where the crowd sees value. Traders should weigh both sources but note that prediction market odds directly price the probability of outcomes based on active, skin-backed participation.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market uses a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing shares of possible run totals. The current top outcome reflects the highest probability as priced by participants, with liquidity indicated by recent volume of $16,509. Traders can place bids or offers at any moment, and the market price adjusts based on supply and demand. Unlike fixed sportsbook lines, Kalshi allows dynamic re-pricing throughout the event’s lead-up, capturing shifts in sentiment as new game data, weather updates, or team news emerge.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final over-under run total will be calculated based on official box scores from the KT Wiz versus Samsung Lions game. Once the game concludes and statistics are published by recognized baseball authorities, the market will close and payouts will be processed automatically according to the settled run total.
Injuries to key hitters or pitchers, weather delays affecting game length, and lineup changes could all shift this market as the game approaches. Starting pitcher performance announcements, recent team scoring trends, and umpire strike zone tendencies may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute roster adjustments or bullpen usage plans released by either team could cause rapid price movements on Kalshi as traders react to new information about expected run production.