TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 8:50 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two baseball teams in an upcoming match, focusing on the margin of victory. It reflects how observers might assess competitive balance and potential outcomes based on run differentials, without predicting an absolute winner alone. The event captures interest in how decisively one team may outperform the other.
The event consists of four distinct markets resolving based on the run differential between the KT Wiz and Samsung Lions in their scheduled game on August 29, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold for victory: Samsung Lions winning by over 2.5 or 1.5 runs, or KT Wiz winning by over 1.5 or 2.5 runs. If the actual result meets or exceeds the specified run differential for any given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets operate independently, and each has identical secondary disclaimers clarifying that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the top outcome’s chance percentage reflecting aggregated bets. The market uses a logarithmic market design to balance liquidity and accuracy, adjusting automatically as new trades occur. This mechanism captures the collective wisdom of participants, pricing in factors like recent team performance and pitching matchups without external influence.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game score and any post-game adjustments, such as disqualifications, if applicable. Once confirmed, the market settles automatically based on whether the final spread matches the traded expectations.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in starting pitchers can shift this market as they affect expected performance. Recent game results involving both teams, especially head-to-head matchups, also influence trader sentiment. Media narratives and expert analysis leading up to the game may cause volatility, as may significant betting volume spikes on Kalshi driven by public sentiment or institutional traders.