TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 8:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether one team wins by a specific number of runs or more, providing different thresholds for resolution. The result depends entirely on the final score of the game.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of a baseball game between KT Wiz and NC Dinos, each defined by a specific run differential threshold. Four distinct markets exist: NC Dinos winning by over 2.5 runs, NC Dinos winning by over 1.5 runs, KT Wiz winning by over 1.5 runs, and KT Wiz winning by over 2.5 runs. All markets resolve based on the final score of the game scheduled for July 28, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT. Each market has a unique resolution condition tied to the exact run margin of victory for either team. The secondary rules clarify that the platform is not officially affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners. The resolution hinges solely on the game's final score meeting or exceeding the specified run thresholds for each respective market.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced view of team performance and public sentiment compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads based on analysis and risk management, prediction markets allow continuous adjustment based on trader activity and new information as the game approaches.
This market resolves around Jul 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread from the game determines which side of the market is settled as the winner based on the official result.
Injuries to key starters, weather delays affecting game length, and mid-game momentum swings could all shift this market before Jul 28, 2026. Strong early performance from either team's ace or a late-inning rally may cause rapid probability adjustments. Traders will also watch bullpen usage patterns and umpires’ strike zones, as these subtle factors often decide tight contests that influence the spread.