TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 9:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The KT Wiz face the Lotte Giants in a professional Korean baseball game where the first inning's momentum can dramatically affect the team's performance. Early scoring can boost a team's confidence and put immediate pressure on the opposing pitcher and defense.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the KT Wiz vs Lotte Giants professional Korea KBO baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 10, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on the collective predictions of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, but it’s important to consider factors like transaction costs and market liquidity when comparing odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, whether a run will be scored in the first inning of the KT Wiz vs Lotte Giants game. The price of each contract reflects the market's current probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic representation of collective expectations. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence in these predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether a run was scored in the first inning of the KT Wiz versus Lotte Giants game. Official game statistics will be used to determine the final result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding starting pitchers – such as injuries or late changes – would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions at the game location could also be a catalyst, as they can affect offensive performance. Additionally, pre-game analysis from baseball experts and any shifts in public sentiment regarding the teams' chances could all contribute to price movements in this market. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports of key players being underperforming could also move the market.