TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 9:44 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between two teams, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by a specific number of runs. The result depends entirely on the final score of the scheduled match.
The event encompasses four distinct outcome scenarios based on the margin of victory in the KT Wiz vs LG Twins game scheduled for August 20, 2026. If the LG Twins win by more than 2.5 runs, or by more than 1.5 runs, the market resolves positively for that condition. Similarly, if KT Wiz wins by more than 1.5 runs, or by more than 2.5 runs, the corresponding market resolves positively. Each rule addresses a specific run-differential threshold for either team, allowing participants to bet on varying degrees of victory magnitude. All rules apply to the same game, held at the originally scheduled time of 6:00 AM EDT, and are independent of any official affiliations between Kalshi and the governing league. Trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the aggregated beliefs of informed traders rather than set benchmarks. While sportsbooks may post a fixed spread, this market allows continuous price discovery, which can shift based on new data, injuries, or changing team dynamics.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader submissions to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The probability reflects collective trader expectations about the game’s likely margin, adjusting dynamically as new information emerges. Volume of $22,197 shows overall interest, while recent 24-hour volume of $21,102 indicates current activity levels. Traders can back either side, influencing the implied likelihood of each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Aug 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether the spread is met or not, and the market will close based on that official result.
Injuries, weather conditions, and coaching strategies can all shift expectations for the game’s margin, directly affecting this market. Key moments like star player performance or pivotal plays may cause rapid adjustments. As Aug 20, 2026 approaches, updated team news and expert commentary often drive short-term volatility, allowing traders to react to fresh information before the market settles.