TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 4:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether at least one run will be scored by either team during the first inning of the KT Wiz versus Kiwoom Heroes matchup. On Kalshi, the probability of a run being scored in the first inning stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official result of the KT Wiz vs Kiwoom Heroes professional Korea KBO baseball game. Watch the opening inning of the game scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 1:00 AM EDT to see whether either team breaks through early.
On Kalshi, the KT Wiz vs Kiwoom Heroes first inning run contract is priced between 0 and 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% probability increment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares based on their belief about whether the outcome will occur, with the market price reflecting the collective assessment of run-scoring likelihood in the first inning. Liquidity and order flow on Kalshi determine how quickly prices adjust to new information about team lineups, weather, or recent performance trends.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmation, and recent offensive or defensive trends for both teams. Weather conditions—wind direction, temperature, and humidity—significantly affect ball carry and scoring probability. Injury updates to key hitters or pitchers, bullpen availability, and head-to-head first-inning performance records can shift trader expectations. Late-breaking news about team strategy or umpire assignments may also influence market prices as game time approaches.