TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 7:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either the KT Wiz or Kiwoom Heroes will score at least one run during the first inning of their KBO baseball matchup. On Kalshi, the probability of at least one run scoring in the opening frame stands at 50.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the game scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT. Watch the teams' recent offensive performance and early-inning scoring patterns leading up to first pitch on May 30, 2026 for signals about early run-scoring likelihood.
On Kalshi, the KT Wiz vs Kiwoom Heroes first-inning run outcome is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's collective probability estimate, ranging from 0 to 100 cents. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by correctly predicting the outcome before resolution. Kalshi's order book aggregates all buy and sell orders, creating a transparent price discovery mechanism. The current top outcome probability and available liquidity determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions at any given moment.
The market resolves at May 30, 2026, which corresponds to the conclusion of the first inning of the KT Wiz versus Kiwoom Heroes game. Resolution is determined by whether at least one run crosses home plate during that inning. The outcome is binary: either a run is scored in the first inning, or no run is scored. Official game records and league statistics serve as the authoritative source for determining the final result. Once the first inning concludes, the market settles automatically based on the official box score.
Key catalysts include lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmation, and recent offensive performance trends for both teams. Injuries to key batters or pitchers can significantly shift first-inning scoring probability. Weather conditions at game time, such as wind direction and temperature, affect ball carry and may influence early scoring. Recent head-to-head matchups and bullpen availability also influence market pricing. Breaking news about player availability or unexpected roster changes can trigger rapid price movement. As game time approaches, traders incorporate all available information, so any last-minute developments in team composition or conditions will be reflected in real-time odds on Kalshi.