TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 7:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in an upcoming college baseball game. Participants predict whether the combined runs will exceed certain thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the game's final score.
The event evaluates multiple run-total thresholds for a single baseball game between KT Wiz and Kia Tigers scheduled for September 6, 2026. Each threshold—over 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, and 11.5 runs—defines a separate market. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined runs scored by both teams during the game must exceed the specified threshold. All markets share the same underlying game and time, and resolution depends solely on the official game result. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who consider various factors, like team statistics and player performance. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders on Kalshi. While both aim to forecast the outcome, differences can arise due to varying information sources and biases. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out $1 if the total runs scored fall within a specific range, and $0 otherwise. The price of these contracts reflects the market's probability assessment of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts, providing a real-time indication of expectations for the KT Wiz versus Kia Tigers game. The current price indicates the perceived likelihood of the total runs exceeding or falling below certain thresholds.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the KT Wiz versus Kia Tigers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the total runs scored. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual total runs fall within the ranges defined by the market’s contracts. Traders will be able to claim their winnings shortly after the official results are available.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the KT Wiz or the Kia Tigers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if rain is expected, could also impact the anticipated run totals. Furthermore, starting pitcher announcements, as well as updates on team batting lineups, can all shift the market’s probabilities. Unexpectedly high or low scoring performances in preceding games by either team could also influence trader sentiment and contract prices.