TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 5:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the combined scoring output in a college baseball game between KT Wiz and Hanwha Eagles scheduled for June 30, 2026. Bettors predict whether the total runs scored by both teams will exceed various thresholds throughout the game.
Resolution is determined by the total runs scored by both KT Wiz and Hanwha Eagles combined in their college baseball game originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The event includes four distinct resolution thresholds: if combined runs exceed 5.5, if they exceed 7.5, if they exceed 9.5, or if they exceed 11.5. Each threshold represents a separate market outcome, with resolution to Yes occurring when the actual combined final score surpasses the specified run total.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may price the total runs differently than traditional sportsbooks, offering traders an alternative view of the likely run total. Comparing both can reveal where consensus is strongest or where sharp disagreement exists.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers on shares representing different run-total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate of all active traders at any given moment. As new information emerges—team lineups, weather, injury reports—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down to reflect changing expectations about the final run total.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the game concludes and the final run total is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the combined runs scored by both teams across all innings. Your position settles based on whether the actual total falls above, below, or matches the strike price specified in the contract terms.
Key catalysts include announced lineups, starting pitcher matchups, recent team offensive and defensive performance trends, and weather conditions on game day. Injuries to star hitters or pitchers can significantly shift run expectations. Betting action from sharp bettors or public money flowing into one side may also move the price. Real-time game developments—early runs, pitching changes, or momentum swings—will drive late-market repricing as traders adjust their probability estimates heading into the final innings.