TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 10:09 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Hanwha Eagles will win their Korea KBO baseball game against the KT Wiz. Currently, the probability of Hanwha Eagles winning on Kalshi is 69.0%, while the probability of a KT Wiz win is 43.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the KT Wiz vs Hanwha Eagles game originally scheduled for September 16, 2026, as reported by the game’s official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 16, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the Korea KBO game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Cancellations or reschedules beyond two days result in fair price resolution. Ties resolve markets to 50/50.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes prove more accurate than traditional odds, particularly when significant information isn’t yet widely available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the KBO baseball matchup. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, these prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the game’s likely result. Essentially, the market price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, with higher demand driving up prices and lower demand pushing them down.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the KT Wiz versus Hanwha Eagles game will be used to determine the winning contract. This includes verifying the official score and any relevant game statistics. The resolution process ensures a fair and transparent determination of the outcome, based on publicly available information and established sporting results. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or weather forecasts could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected performance in preceding games, team morale, or even strategic announcements from team management could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets in other KBO games could also indirectly affect perceptions of team strength. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market’s pricing before Sep 16, 2026.