TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:20 AM EST
Kalshi
Another pair of baseball teams will face off in a scheduled contest. The winner is determined by the final score, with no consideration for game interruptions or schedule changes beyond the stated rules. Draws lead to an even split in outcomes.
Markets resolve to Yes for the specified team if they win the underlying game. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days; cancellations or reschedules beyond this window result in fair price resolution. Ties resolve markets at 50/50. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when public perception differs from expert analysis. Sportsbooks may initially be influenced by team reputations or early news, whereas this market can adjust more rapidly to new information and changing sentiment. Comparing the two can provide a broader understanding of potential outcomes and identify opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the level of agreement among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently incorporate new information and adjust its predictions in real-time, based on the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the KT Wiz versus Doosan Bears game. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome. The final result will be determined by the official score reported by the KBO league, and the market will settle accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in the starting pitchers, or weather forecasts impacting the game could cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected team performance in preceding games, or even broader trends in the KBO season, might also affect trader sentiment. Major announcements related to team strategy or management could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.