TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 18, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Kristiansund BK and Sarpsborg 08 FF, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kristiansund BK" if Kristiansund BK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sarpsborg 08 FF" if Sarpsborg 08 FF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Kristiansund BK and Sarpsborg 08 FF, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kristiansund BK" if Kristiansund BK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sarpsborg 08 FF" if Sarpsborg 08 FF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders risking real capital on outcomes they believe will occur. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper or more efficient pricing because traders compete directly on accuracy rather than following house models. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value or consensus shifts in how the match is perceived.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the aggregate belief of all participants: higher prices indicate stronger conviction that outcome will occur, while lower prices suggest lower perceived probability. As new information emerges—team lineups, injury reports, or pre-match analysis—traders adjust their positions, moving prices in real time. The spread between bid and ask prices reflects liquidity and trading activity in this specific market.
This market resolves around Jul 18, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regular play. Once the event is confirmed through established sports data sources, this market will settle to reflect the actual first scorer. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.
Several factors can shift odds before the match kicks off. Team news—such as key player injuries, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers significant price movement. Weather conditions, recent form, and head-to-head records may also influence trader sentiment. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or unexpected developments in either squad's preparation can sway the market. As the match start time approaches, late-breaking information and final betting patterns typically drive the most volatile price swings in this market.