TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 2:06 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Kristiansund BK and IK Start, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kristiansund BK" if Kristiansund BK score more goals than IK Start in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Kristiansund BK and IK Start score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "IK Start" if IK Start score more goals than Kristiansund BK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Kristiansund BK and IK Start, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Kristiansund BK" if Kristiansund BK score more goals than IK Start in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Kristiansund BK and IK Start score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "IK Start" if IK Start score more goals than Kristiansund BK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set fixed lines designed to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders continuously adjusting positions based on new information. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time developments—team news, weather, or live match dynamics—faster than traditional sportsbooks update their lines. This can create opportunities for informed traders who spot discrepancies between the two pricing models.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The current odds reflect the cumulative positions of all participants; as more traders back one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls. This continuous price discovery process means the market adapts instantly to new information, keeping odds aligned with real-time expectations about the second-half result.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the official final score recorded for the second half of the fixture, verified against credible public sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution window typically closes shortly after the match ends and the result is publicly confirmed.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before it resolves. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—often triggers sharp price movement. Live match developments during the first half, such as early goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments, frequently reshape expectations for the second-half outcome. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and recent form streaks also influence trader positioning. Monitoring pre-match press conferences and real-time match commentary helps you anticipate where the market may reprice.