TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 10:51 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored during the regulation time of a soccer match between Krieschow and Mainz. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match is part of the DFB Pokal tournament and takes place on August 23, 2026.
The event determines whether the total goals scored by both teams during the regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties) of the Krieschow vs Mainz DFB Pokal match scheduled for August 23, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Multiple markets exist, each corresponding to a different threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. For any market, if the actual number of goals scored exceeds its respective threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes.' The resolution is based solely on the official match result as recorded by the governing league. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often differ due to varying participant dynamics and risk assessments. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors like historical data and broker adjustments, this market provides a pure crowdsourced perspective. Traders on Kalshi set prices based on their expectations for the match outcome, which can lead to notable differences from sportsbook odds. The contrast offers a unique view into how informed communities price probabilities, sometimes aligning closely with sportsbook assessments and other times diverging significantly based on recent developments or shifting public opinion.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of goals scored during regulation time will determine whether the over or under threshold has been reached, closing the market definitively based on official match results.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 23, 2026. Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather forecasts may significantly impact expectations for goal-scoring. High-profile performances from star attackers or defensive errors in recent matches can also sway trader sentiment. As the match approaches, any last-minute lineup announcements or tactical shifts could cause rapid price movements. Additionally, broader narratives such as home advantage or recent form trends may influence perceptions, especially if betting volumes surge or major media analyses surface in the final days.