TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 9:50 PM EST
Kalshi
Two esports teams compete in a best-of-three series, with this market focusing on the outcome of the third and final map. The winner of this map determines the overall series victor, making it crucial for both teams' strategies.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win map 3 of the specified Valorant match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the governing body's official result.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome, they can express that view by trading contracts on Kalshi, potentially causing the prediction market odds to diverge from those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. As more contracts are bought for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the cost to own one unit of exposure to that outcome. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, creating a constantly updating forecast of the match result.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of Map 3 in the KRÜ Blaze versus Akave Esports Black Valorant match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual game result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either KRÜ Blaze or Akave Esports Black could impact trader sentiment. In-game performance during the match itself, such as early round wins or dominant individual plays, will likely cause significant price fluctuations. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in analyst predictions or social media buzz, could also drive trading volume and alter the perceived probabilities within this market.