TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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KPMG Women's PGA Championship End of Round 1 Leader
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KPMG Women's PGA Championship End of Round 1 Leader

Volume:
$26,754

Ina Yoon

 - Kalshi

Ina Yoon - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 25, 9:09 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ina Yoon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,100
N/A
N/A
$6,511
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nelly Korda

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,924
N/A
N/A
$3,694
Settled
No
kalshi

Lottie Woad

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,423
N/A
N/A
$2,372
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeeno Thitikul

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,873
N/A
N/A
$1,152
Settled
No
kalshi

Lauren Coughlin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,573
N/A
N/A
$1,573
Settled
No
kalshi

Megan Khang

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,100
N/A
N/A
$1,100
Settled
No
kalshi

Ruoning Yin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,078
N/A
N/A
$1,050
Settled
No
kalshi

Alison Lee

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,038
N/A
N/A
$1,016
Settled
No
kalshi

Hae-Ran Ryu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$862
N/A
N/A
$857
Settled
No
kalshi

Minjee Lee

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
$756
Settled
No
kalshi

Hannah Green

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$593
N/A
N/A
$593
Settled
No
kalshi

A Lim Kim

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$579
N/A
N/A
$485
Settled
No
kalshi

Hye Jin Choi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$368
N/A
N/A
$342
Settled
No
kalshi

Karis Davidson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$355
N/A
N/A
$355
Settled
No
kalshi

Hyo Joo Kim

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
$295
Settled
No
kalshi

Charley Hull

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
$218
Settled
No
kalshi

Gaby Lopez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$206
N/A
N/A
$156
Settled
No
kalshi

Allisen Corpuz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$156
N/A
N/A
$156
Settled
No
kalshi

Ariya Jutanugarn

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$156
N/A
N/A
$156
Settled
No
kalshi

Miyu Yamashita

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
$140
Settled
No
kalshi

Azahara Munoz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$120
N/A
N/A
$120
Settled
No
kalshi

Sei Young Kim

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$109
N/A
N/A
$109
Settled
No
kalshi

Somi Lee

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$106
N/A
N/A
$106
Settled
No
kalshi

Soo Bin Joo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina Lopez-Chacarra Coto

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
$80
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 159

Description

The 2026 KPMG Women's PGA Championship is a major professional golf tournament for women. These markets track who will hold the lead after the first round of competition is completed.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the specified participant is the sole leader or tied for the lead at the end of Round 1. When multiple participants tie for the lead, Yes positions receive a proportional payout of $1/N (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N equals the number of tied participants. No positions receive 1 minus the Yes payout amount. This structure ensures that the combined payout of Yes and No positions always equals $1, regardless of whether a single participant or multiple participants share the lead.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the KPMG Women's PGA Round 1 leader market displays real-time odds on which player will hold the lead after the first round concludes. The interface tracks price movements, historical charts, and current trader positioning as the tournament unfolds. You can monitor volume of $26,754 and 24-hour activity of $21,423 to gauge market liquidity and interest. This snapshot helps traders assess consensus expectations and identify shifting sentiment as scores update throughout the day.

Prediction market odds reflect real-time trader consensus and often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they incorporate live information and continuous price discovery. Sportsbooks typically set fixed odds before an event and adjust them based on betting volume, while this market allows traders to update prices dynamically as new data emerges. During a live tournament round, prediction market participants may react faster to leaderboard changes, course conditions, and player momentum, creating opportunities for informed traders to identify discrepancies between the two pricing mechanisms.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each potential outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents per share, with the midpoint reflecting the crowd's probability estimate. As new information surfaces—such as player scores, weather updates, or injury reports—traders adjust their bids and asks, causing the price to shift. The platform's transparent order flow allows you to see depth and liquidity for each contender, enabling more informed entry and exit decisions.

This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the first round of the KPMG Women's PGA Championship concludes and final leaderboard standings are confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official tournament results. Resolution occurs after all players have completed their first-round rounds and the leader is definitively established. Early resolution may occur if the tournament is suspended or cancelled, in which case the market outcome would reflect the circumstances at that time.

Several factors can shift prices in this market as Round 1 progresses. Live scoring updates and leaderboard changes are the primary drivers, as traders react to each player's performance hole-by-hole. Weather conditions, course difficulty, and player momentum can influence expectations about who will lead after 18 holes. Injuries or withdrawals announced during play may eliminate contenders or alter odds for remaining players. Media commentary, expert analysis, and social sentiment can also sway trader positioning, especially if a surprise leader emerges or a favored player struggles unexpectedly.