TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 11:12 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Kozakken Boys and Koninklijke. The focus is on determining whether either team wins after the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or if the game ends in a tie within that regulation period. The result reflects the immediate conclusion of the match without considering any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event determines the winner of the professional Tweede Divisie soccer match between Kozakken Boys and Koninklijke scheduled for September 26, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Kozakken Boys, a win for Koninklijke, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regulation time, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution explicitly excludes any results from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the standard match duration.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by supply and demand—traders buying and selling contracts based on their own assessments. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes be more efficient, reflecting the true probability of an event as perceived by a diverse group of participants. It's common to see differences, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from sportsbook expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at various price points, indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adjust to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Kozakken Boys vs Koninklijke match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team form, injuries to key players for either the Kozakken Boys or Koninklijke, or changes in weather conditions could all shift traders' expectations. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or significant tactical adjustments could also impact the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could create momentum and lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 26, 2026.