TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 11:07 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in a specific league. The result is determined by which team wins within the regular time of the game, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. If the game ends with both teams level, this is considered a tie outcome.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the professional Tweede Divisie soccer match between Kozakken Boys and GVVV scheduled for August 29, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Kozakken Boys or GVVV wins the match within 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, while a tie resolves the 'Tie' market positively. All markets are contingent on the match occurring as scheduled; if the game is canceled or postponed by more than 48 hours, the markets will resolve to a fair price according to the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may incorporate sharp lines and adjustments, prediction markets reflect aggregated trader sentiment and can show more volatility. Monitoring both can provide a broader view of expectations, though this market’s pricing is entirely shaped by participants on Kalshi.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks, driving the odds based on supply and demand. The top outcome’s chance percentage reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants, with volume of $3,015 indicating liquidity and interest ahead of the match.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will settle based on the officially recorded result of the game, aligning with Kalshi’s standard verification process.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or shifting team form could all influence this market as the match nears. Media coverage, expert analysis, and even early-game momentum once the match starts may cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will react to any news that impacts the perceived likelihood of each possible outcome on Kalshi.