TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 4:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This prediction market centers around a table tennis match between Yaroslav Kovshun and Ruslan Sopivnyk in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men tournament. The market asks who will win the match, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is significantly delayed. It also covers scenarios where a player advances due to their opponent's withdrawal or disqualification.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Kovshun Yaroslav and Sopivnyk Ruslan in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for September 4 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kovshun Yaroslav' if Kovshun Yaroslav wins against Sopivnyk Ruslan. This market will resolve to 'Sopivnyk Ruslan' if Sopivnyk Ruslan wins against Kovshun Yaroslav. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If the Daniil Donchenko vs. Punahele Soriano UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 ends before round 2, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Daniil Donchenko vs. Punahele Soriano UFC Fight Night fight originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026 ends before round 3, then the market resolves to Yes.
Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Yaroslav vs. Ruslan match can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk assessments, leading to varying interpretations of available information. Furthermore, the liquidity and 24-hour volume – currently $29,066 – can differ between the two, impacting price discovery. Different fee structures and platform-specific rules can also contribute to these discrepancies. These variations present opportunities for arbitrage, as traders attempt to capitalize on price differences across venues.