TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 6:38 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 24 at 2:45 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 24 at 2:45 PM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. If there's a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook lines, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders to exploit perceived mispricings. However, it's crucial to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to represent the collective prediction. Higher demand for shares in a particular outcome will drive its price up, indicating a greater perceived likelihood, while increased selling pressure will lower the price. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kosovo vs. Ireland match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those who held shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The precise details of the result will be publicly available after resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Sep 24, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns, can also drive price movements. Major upsets in related matches or changes in the overall form of either team could also play a role in how this market evolves.