TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Korn Ferry Tour: Simmons Bank Open Top 5
polymarket
kalshi

Korn Ferry Tour: Simmons Bank Open Top 5

Volume:
$1,036,365

Alvaro Ortiz

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 10:36 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alvaro Ortiz

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51,448
N/A
N/A
$24,347
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alvaro Ortiz

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Will Cannon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$78,387
N/A
N/A
$39,884
Settled
No
polymarket

William Cannon

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Blades Brown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$76,036
N/A
N/A
$53,033
Settled
No
polymarket

Blades Brown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ben Kohles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$74,945
N/A
N/A
$48,569
Settled
No
polymarket

Ben Kohles

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sandy Scott

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62,291
N/A
N/A
$24,710
Settled
No
polymarket

Sandy Scott

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ross Steelman

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61,046
N/A
N/A
$32,844
Settled
No
polymarket

Ross Steelman

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Hayden Springer

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53,538
N/A
N/A
$44,254
Settled
No
polymarket

Hayden Springer

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yuta Sugiura

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$52,510
N/A
N/A
$33,192
Settled
No
polymarket

Yuta Sugiura

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Young

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,095
N/A
N/A
$46,442
Settled
No
polymarket

Carson Young

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Zac Blair

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,469
N/A
N/A
$39,781
Settled
No
polymarket

Zachary Blair

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Adam Hadwin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,372
N/A
N/A
$25,756
Settled
No
polymarket

Adam Hadwin

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Hitt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30,939
N/A
N/A
$23,940
Settled
No
polymarket

Austin Hitt

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Robby Shelton

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,594
N/A
N/A
$18,238
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 293

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of Alvaro Ortiz winning the Simmons Bank Open for the Snedeker Foundation. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi is 99.9%. This aggregated view combines market data from both platforms, with resolution determined by whether Ryan Blaum wins the tournament, as defined by the resolution source. Be sure to watch the final leaderboard following the conclusion of play on September 13, 2026, to see if Ortiz secures the victory and resolves this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets resolve on a win condition, while Polymarket markets resolve on a top 5 finish, creating a significant divergence in scope.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket markets if you want to trade the 'top 5' outcome directly. Be cautious with Kalshi markets as they require a win for resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if the listed player wins the Simmons Bank Open. Key Quote: "If Tyson Alexander wins the Simmons Bank Open for the Snedeker Foundation, then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the Simmons Bank Open, including ties. Key Quote: "This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Simmons Bank Open tournament, including ties."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Simmons Bank Open tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by September 20, 2026 at 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website (https://www.pgatour.com/korn-ferry-tour).

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified golfer wins the Simmons Bank Open for the Snedeker Foundation tournament. Each market rule corresponds to a specific player, with identical secondary disclaimers confirming no official affiliation between Kalshi and the PGA or its governing bodies. All trademarks and brand names referenced belong to their respective owners. The structure ensures clarity that only an outright victory by the named player triggers a Yes outcome, with no additional conditions or tiebreaker scenarios specified beyond winning the event.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on all sides, while prediction markets allow participants to freely trade based on their individual insights. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets can become highly accurate as the event approaches, sometimes even exceeding sportsbook accuracy. The current volume of $136,816 suggests active trading in this market.

Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity, or trading volume, can also contribute to price variations. Furthermore, the platforms may attract different types of traders – some more focused on fundamental analysis, others on short-term momentum. These varying perspectives and trading behaviors can result in distinct probabilities for the same outcomes, even though both platforms are tracking the same event: the Simmons Bank Open Top 5.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Player form leading up to the tournament, including recent performance and any reported injuries, will be key factors. Weather conditions during the tournament are also crucial, as they can impact scoring and player strategies. Unexpected withdrawals of top contenders could dramatically shift probabilities. Finally, any significant news or developments related to the golfers – such as changes in caddies or equipment – could also influence trading activity and move the odds in this market. Monitoring these factors will be essential for informed trading.