TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 2:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Nationwide Children's Hospital Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Nationwide Children's Hospital Championship is cancelled, postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 Nationwide Children's Hospital Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Nationwide Children's Hospital Championship is cancelled, postponed after October 4, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether a particular golfer will be the first-round leader. As more shares are bought for a specific golfer, the price of those shares increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the market's collective assessment of that golfer’s chances, and these prices dynamically adjust based on supply and demand. This creates a real-time probability distribution for all potential first-round leaders.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the golfer who posts the lowest score after the first round of the Nationwide Children's Hospital Championship will be declared the winner of this market. The official leaderboard from the Korn Ferry Tour will serve as the primary source for determining the first-round leader, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Any ties will be handled according to the tournament's official rules.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Late withdrawals of key golfers due to injury or illness would immediately impact the odds of remaining players. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be significantly different for the morning and afternoon waves of golfers, could also shift probabilities. Any news regarding a golfer’s recent form, changes to their caddie, or equipment adjustments could also move the market. Finally, early performance in practice rounds, if widely reported, might cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions accordingly.