TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 24, 9:06 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the Over/Under 2.5 goals scored in the Korea Republic vs. Ecuador international friendly soccer match. Currently, the consensus probability of Korea Republic vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 reaching over 2.5 goals is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official final score reported by FIFA at https://www.fifa.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the goals scored during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time on September 24, 2026.
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for September 24 at 7:00 AM ET.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Republic of Korea versus Ecuador international friendly soccer match scheduled for September 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative goals scored by both teams must exceed the specified threshold within the regulation time of 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. All markets share the same underlying condition — the total goals scored during the match — but each applies a distinct numerical threshold to determine resolution. The event is unaffiliated with any official governing bodies or leagues, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets are driven by individuals wagering their own capital. This market’s pricing can be a useful signal, but it’s important to remember that both prediction markets and sportsbooks have their own strengths and weaknesses when assessing the likely outcome of the Korea vs. Ecuador match.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading interfaces, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific markets offered on each platform may focus on different aspects of the Korea vs. Ecuador match – Polymarket currently favors Spread: Ecuador (-2.5), while Kalshi leans toward Will over 5.5 goals be scored?. These differing focuses can lead to varied probabilities and trading volume, even for the same underlying event.