TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Korea Republic vs. Ecuador - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Korea Republic vs Ecuador?

Volume:
$546,489

Over 2.5 goals scored

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 9:06 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$128,634
N/A
N/A
$48,945
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$82,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$63,021
N/A
N/A
$25,667
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

100%
30%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$27,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,099
N/A
N/A
$38,994
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

100%
9%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$26,598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Korea Republic (-1.5)

100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Korea Republic O/U 0.5

100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,686
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Korea Republic (-2.5)

100%
94%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,542
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Korea Republic O/U 1.5

100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$931
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Korea Republic O/U 2.5

100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$70,716
N/A
N/A
$39,745
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 3.5

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,792
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,051
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,932
N/A
N/A
$6,817
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,081
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ecuador (-1.5)

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,903
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,480
N/A
N/A
$1,273
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 5.5

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$370
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ecuador O/U 0.5

0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,409
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 4.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ecuador O/U 1.5

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,019
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ecuador (-2.5)

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$525
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 66

Intro

This market tracks the Over/Under 2.5 goals scored in the Korea Republic vs. Ecuador international friendly soccer match. Currently, the consensus probability of Korea Republic vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 reaching over 2.5 goals is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official final score reported by FIFA at https://www.fifa.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the goals scored during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time on September 24, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets have an incorrect event date (Sep 24, 2026) while Polymarket uses the stated event date. This discrepancy impacts the relevance and potential resolution of the Kalshi markets.Hero tip: Prioritize trading on Polymarket due to the correct event date and defined fallback resolution sources. Exercise caution with Kalshi markets given the date inconsistency.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official final score (or Flashscore/Sofascore if official data is unavailable) within 90 minutes + stoppage time. 50/50 resolution for cancellations. Data sourcing window of 2 hours.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on goals scored within 90 minutes + stoppage time, but uses an incorrect event date of September 24, 2026. No mention of fallback data sources or cancellation handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for September 24 at 7:00 AM ET.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Republic of Korea versus Ecuador international friendly soccer match scheduled for September 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different goal threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the cumulative goals scored by both teams must exceed the specified threshold within the regulation time of 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from consideration. All markets share the same underlying condition — the total goals scored during the match — but each applies a distinct numerical threshold to determine resolution. The event is unaffiliated with any official governing bodies or leagues, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Korea vs. Ecuador match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of potential outcomes, currently showing a combined volume of $546,489 and 24-hour volume of $506,951. While Polymarket currently favors Spread: Ecuador (-2.5) at 99 percent chance, Kalshi does not have a comparable leading market. This allows users to see how different platforms are pricing the same event and form their own informed opinions.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets are driven by individuals wagering their own capital. This market’s pricing can be a useful signal, but it’s important to remember that both prediction markets and sportsbooks have their own strengths and weaknesses when assessing the likely outcome of the Korea vs. Ecuador match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading interfaces, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the specific markets offered on each platform may focus on different aspects of the Korea vs. Ecuador match – Polymarket currently favors Spread: Ecuador (-2.5), while Kalshi leans toward Will over 5.5 goals be scored?. These differing focuses can lead to varied probabilities and trading volume, even for the same underlying event.