TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,176,691

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,958,194

394,660

Markets across

30,119

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Korea Republic vs. Ecuador
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Korea Republic vs. Ecuador?

Volume:
$1,115,742

Korea Republic

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 24, 2026

Closed: Sep 24, 9:05 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Korea Republic

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$355,534
N/A
N/A
$215,408
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Korea Republic

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$197,068
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ecuador

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$308,941
N/A
N/A
$245,293
Settled
No
polymarket

Ecuador

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$158,228
N/A
N/A
$103,983
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Korea Republic vs. Ecuador)

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Korea Republic will win their soccer match against Ecuador on September 24, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of a Korea Republic win is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official match statistics reported by https://www.fifa.com. Keep a close watch on the match itself on September 24, 2026, to see if the outcome aligns with the current strong prediction for a Korea Republic victory.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not resolve them.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading. If a cancellation seems probable, the Polymarket 'No' outcome may be more favorable, while Kalshi markets will remain open indefinitely.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolution is based on official statistics with fallbacks. If canceled, resolves to 'No'. The game must be completed for resolution.
  • Kalshi: Resolution is based on the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of cancellations is provided, implying the market remains open.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Thursday, September 24, 2026 between Korea Republic and Ecuador.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Korea Republic vs Ecuador professional international friendly soccer match scheduled for September 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either Korea Republic or Ecuador markets occurs if the respective team wins the match within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw after the same regulation period. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The markets exclusively consider results from regular time and do not account for outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Korea vs. Ecuador match from multiple prediction market platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $1,115,742, with $1,086,024 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a consensus view of the probabilities for various outcomes, allowing users to see how the 'wisdom of the crowd' is assessing the likely result. It’s designed to offer a comprehensive look at market sentiment surrounding this sporting event, going beyond simple point-in-time snapshots.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of information than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals wagering their own capital, theoretically leading to more accurate probabilities. This market, like others, can sometimes diverge significantly from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges. However, both offer insights into the perceived likelihood of different outcomes, and comparing them can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making. The current volume of $1,115,742 suggests active trading in this event.