TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 12:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Volynets and Elvina Kalieva in the Korea Open, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Elvina Kalieva. This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Katie Volynets. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Volynets and Elvina Kalieva in the Korea Open, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Volynets' if Katie Volynets advances against Elvina Kalieva. This market will resolve to 'Elvina Kalieva' if Elvina Kalieva advances against Katie Volynets. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to capitalize on the mispricing. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, particularly as an event draws closer.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb. Conversely, if sentiment shifts towards another outcome, the corresponding share price will decrease. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Korea Open tennis match between Katie Volynets and Elvina Kalieva, as reported by official tournament sources. The market will determine which player won the match, and the outcome will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the Korea Open, or even broader tennis news, could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring tennis news sources and observing trading volume on Polymarket will be key to understanding potential catalysts for shifts in this market.