TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 12:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the game spread between Gabriela Ruse and Eva Lys in their Korea Open match, specifically whether Ruse will win by more than 1.5 games. Currently, the consensus probability—aggregated from Limitless and Polymarket—indicates a 100.0% chance of Gabriela Ruse (-1.5) winning against Eva Lys (+1.5). Resolution will be based on official WTA Tour statistics. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the official results reported following the conclusion of play on September 28, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Lys and Gabriela Ruse in the Korea Open, originally scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Eva Lys' if Eva Lys advances against Gabriela Ruse. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Ruse' if Gabriela Ruse advances against Eva Lys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Eva Lys and Elena Gabriela Ruse in the WTA Korea Open, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 03:10 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Eva Lys' if Eva Lys advances against Elena Gabriela Ruse. This market will resolve to 'Elena Gabriela Ruse' if Elena Gabriela Ruse advances against Eva Lys. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how each is determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance risk and profit. This market, however, is driven by the collective wisdom of crowd, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available and the event approaches. The dynamic pricing in prediction markets can also react more quickly to breaking news or unexpected developments.
Polymarket and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Limitless can diverge due to a number of factors, including differing liquidity, user bases, and risk appetites. Polymarket currently favors Eva Lys at a chance of approximately 99%, while Limitless also leans toward Eva Lys, though the exact percentage is not currently available. These differences can arise from varying trading strategies employed by users on each platform, as well as the specific incentives and mechanisms in place on each venue. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform can influence price discovery, leading to temporary discrepancies in the odds.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in preceding matches or broader tournament upsets could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, real-time updates during the match itself, such as a player gaining a significant lead or facing a setback, will likely cause rapid price adjustments. Monitoring tennis news sources and live match updates will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.