TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 1:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Gabriela Ruse will win by a margin of more than 2.5 games against Anna Bondar in their Korea Open match. Currently, Polymarket gives a 40.0% probability to Gabriela Ruse achieving this game spread. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 12:30AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the final game spread in this first-round fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Bondar and Gabriela Ruse in the Korea Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Bondar' if Anna Bondar advances against Gabriela Ruse. This market will resolve to 'Gabriela Ruse' if Gabriela Ruse advances against Anna Bondar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, while this market is driven by the actions of many individual traders. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, as sportsbooks may prioritize attracting action or have different risk assessments. However, as event time approaches, the odds on Polymarket and those offered by sportsbooks frequently converge, representing a combined assessment of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Bondar vs Ruse match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving sentiment of the crowd and creates a market-determined forecast for the match’s result. The current volume indicates the level of interest in this particular event.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Bondar vs Ruse match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective outcome determination.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player form, potential injuries to either Bondar or Ruse, or changes in playing conditions (like weather if the match is outdoors) could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches featuring these players leading up to the event could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed bettors could signal a change in expectations and cause significant price movement on Polymarket before the Oct 2, 2026 resolution.