TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Turkish Super Lig soccer match between Kocaelispor and Gaziantep FK scheduled for February 15, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: Kocaelispor win, Gaziantep FK win, and draw result. All markets evaluate the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket applies asymmetric resolution (draw Yes, wins No) if game is canceled entirely with no makeup, creating a logical inconsistency. Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios.Hero Tip:
Before the match date, request explicit cancellation guidance from both platforms. The Polymarket draw-resolves-Yes-on-cancellation rule contradicts the win-resolves-No rule, since a canceled game is neither a draw nor a win. Traders holding draw positions have asymmetric upside if cancellation occurs.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Three separate binary markets, each resolving Yes if the specified outcome (Kocaeli win, Gaziantep win, or tie) occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Kocaeli vs Gaziantep professional Super Lig soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets with explicit cancellation logic. Kocaelispor win and Gaziantep FK win both resolve No if game is canceled with no makeup. Draw resolves Yes if game is canceled with no makeup. Postponed games remain open. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve [No for wins / Yes for draw].'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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