TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.9b
24H VOL:
$225,546,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,816,443,416
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,867,230,198
490,493
Markets across
36,414
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,838
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
What will the Rotten Tomatoes score be?
Above 15
- Kalshi
Above 15 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 26, 2026
Time left: 01d:19h:03m
Klara and the Sun Rotten Tomatoes score?
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Intro
This market tracks whether the Rotten Tomatoes score for the film *Klara and the Sun* will be above 65% as determined by Kalshi. Currently, the probability of this occurring is 99.0%. The resolution source for this market is the Tomatometer score on Rotten Tomatoes, and the market will resolve based on the score reported on October 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. Keep an eye on the film’s initial critical reception following its release, as the Tomatometer score will be finalized on October 26, 2026, determining the market’s outcome.
Kalshi
The markets evaluate whether the film "Klara and the Sun" achieves specific Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score thresholds by October 26, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from above 45 to above 90. For a market to resolve as "Yes," the film's score must exceed the specified threshold. For example, a score of 75 would resolve as "No" for the market requiring above 75, as the score must be strictly above the threshold. All markets are determined on the Monday following the film's wide release. Importantly, these markets and related products are not endorsed by Rotten Tomatoes; references to Rotten Tomatoes are purely descriptive and do not imply any affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, there is limited publicly available data from film critics regarding a precise Rotten Tomatoes score prediction for Klara and the Sun. However, prediction markets like this one often reflect a collective intelligence that can differ from individual analyst opinions. This market allows traders to express their beliefs about the film's critical reception, potentially identifying discrepancies between expert forecasts and the wisdom of the crowd. If initial reviews are polarized, we might see significant movement in the odds as traders react to the information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different Rotten Tomatoes score ranges for Klara and the Sun, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular score range, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information and beliefs of all traders.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Rotten Tomatoes score for Klara and the Sun is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final Rotten Tomatoes score, as reported by Rotten Tomatoes, will determine which outcome wins the market. Traders will be able to see the final score and the corresponding winning contract once resolution is complete. This allows for a clear and transparent determination of the market's outcome based on a widely recognized metric.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Early reviews from film festivals or prominent critics will likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Positive buzz and strong word-of-mouth could drive up the probability of a higher Rotten Tomatoes score, while negative reactions could lower it. Any news regarding the film's distribution, marketing campaign, or reception from test screenings could also influence trading activity. Ultimately, the market will react to any information that changes perceptions about the film's likely critical success.
