TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 6:23 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between KKS Lech Poznań and Aarhus GF, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KKS Lech Poznań" if KKS Lech Poznań score more goals than Aarhus GF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if KKS Lech Poznań and Aarhus GF score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aarhus GF" if Aarhus GF score more goals than KKS Lech Poznań in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between KKS Lech Poznań and Aarhus GF, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KKS Lech Poznań" if KKS Lech Poznań score more goals than Aarhus GF in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if KKS Lech Poznań and Aarhus GF score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aarhus GF" if Aarhus GF score more goals than KKS Lech Poznań in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show odds that differ from major sportsbooks, especially if one venue has concentrated trading or unique information flow. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views persist.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probability quotes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders purchase shares representing each possible second half outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and others fall, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism that balances supply and demand throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, once the match concludes and the second half result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score and result recorded by the relevant football governing bodies and match officials. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to ensure their positions reflect the most current information available before settlement occurs.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff, as well as early match momentum during the first half. Unexpected tactical shifts, weather conditions, or referee decisions in the opening period can all shift trader expectations for the second half outcome. Additionally, any official announcements from either club or the league regarding match integrity or unusual circumstances may trigger repricing. Real-time score updates and possession patterns during the first half typically drive the largest moves in this market.