TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 6:23 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between KKS Lech Poznań and Aarhus GF, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KKS Lech Poznań" if KKS Lech Poznań are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aarhus GF" if Aarhus GF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between KKS Lech Poznań and Aarhus GF, scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KKS Lech Poznań" if KKS Lech Poznań are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Aarhus GF" if Aarhus GF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader consensus rather than a fixed bookmaker margin. On this market, odds adjust continuously as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Sportsbooks typically build in a margin and may move lines more slowly. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional bettors and casual traders see the outcome differently, though prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently over time.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each team's chance of scoring first, and the price of each share reflects the collective belief of all participants. As volume flows in, prices shift to balance supply and demand, ensuring the market remains liquid and responsive to new developments.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regulation play. Once the event is confirmed, this market will settle accordingly, and traders' positions will be finalized based on the actual sequence of play.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly shift odds as traders reassess each side's attacking capability. Weather conditions and pitch state on match day may favor one team's style of play. Recent form, head-to-head history, and pre-match momentum all influence trader positioning. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking developments such as unexpected absences or formation announcements often trigger sharp price moves. Live match conditions, including early possession patterns and defensive intensity, will continue to shape this market right up until the first goal is scored.