TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 3:44 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between KKS Czarni Sosnowiec and SK Samegrelo Chkhorotsku, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KKS Czarni Sosnowiec" if KKS Czarni Sosnowiec are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Samegrelo Chkhorotsku" if SK Samegrelo Chkhorotsku are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between KKS Czarni Sosnowiec and SK Samegrelo Chkhorotsku, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "KKS Czarni Sosnowiec" if KKS Czarni Sosnowiec are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Samegrelo Chkhorotsku" if SK Samegrelo Chkhorotsku are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets price outcomes based on trader consensus and real-money commitment. For this match, comparing Polymarket probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether bettors and traders disagree on the likelihood of an early goal. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient when traders have specialized knowledge or access to live information that sportsbooks have not yet repriced.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share fluctuates based on the ratio of liquidity in the outcome pools; as more traders back one team to score first, that outcome's price rises and the competing outcome's price falls. This continuous pricing model ensures the market remains liquid and reflects real-time shifts in trader conviction throughout the lead-up to kickoff.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, confirmed against credible public reporting of the match result. Early resolution may occur if one team scores before the scheduled end time, triggering immediate settlement. Traders should monitor official match updates and team announcements to anticipate resolution timing and any potential delays or postponements.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can significantly shift odds, as can recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day. Tactical announcements or manager statements about attacking intent may influence trader expectations of an early goal. Live match momentum, such as early possession dominance or aggressive pressing, typically drives sharp price moves once play begins. Pre-match betting activity and social media sentiment can also telegraph trader positioning and trigger cascading trades as the event approaches.