TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional basketball game features two teams vying for victory, with the result hingeing on the final score.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the designated men's professional Croatia Premijer Liga basketball game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, at 2:15 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, the market remains open to resolve based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, and prices adjust based on collective belief. If a significant amount of money is wagered on one outcome, the price will shift accordingly, potentially revealing insights that differ from traditional sportsbook perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion changes leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market clears at the best available prices. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if more people want to buy a contract (believing an outcome is more likely), the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism leads to a constantly updating assessment of the game's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the KK Skrljevo vs Dubrava game, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on that information. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. The process ensures a transparent and verifiable determination of the market’s result.
Several signals could influence this market before Sep 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even changes in weather conditions if the game is played outdoors, might also shift the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and social media, can also play a role, especially if there's a strong bias towards one team. Major upsets in related games or league standings could also cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust prices.