TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Anadolu Efes
polymarket
kalshi

KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Anadolu Efes

Volume:
$68,767

KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade

 - Kalshi

KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 26, 2026

Closed: Feb 25, 5:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,653
N/A
N/A
$22,182
Settled
Yes
polymarket

KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Anadolu Efes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Anadolu Efes SK

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,521
N/A
N/A
$25,524
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between KK Crvena Zvezda (Belgrade) and Anadolu Efes (Istanbul) scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST. Markets on Polymarket resolve based on which team wins, with provisions for postponement or cancellation, while Kalshi's market structure contains a logical flaw that makes it unresolvable.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market contains a fundamental logical contradiction: both a win by Anadolu Efes and a win by KK Crvena Zvezda resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's logic is sound and unambiguous.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The platform's resolution logic is internally contradictory and will create settlement disputes. Polymarket is the only viable venue for this event. Monitor Euroleague's official schedule for any postponements or cancellations before the game date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to the winning team's name. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: Euroleague Basketball official site.
  • Kalshi: Logically broken: states 'If Anadolu Efes SK wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade wins... resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to distinguish winners. No valid settlement path exists.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.