TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Anadolu Efes
Volume:
$68,767
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between KK Crvena Zvezda (Belgrade) and Anadolu Efes (Istanbul) scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST. Markets on Polymarket resolve based on which team wins, with provisions for postponement or cancellation, while Kalshi's market structure contains a logical flaw that makes it unresolvable.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a fundamental logical contradiction: both a win by Anadolu Efes and a win by KK Crvena Zvezda resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket's logic is sound and unambiguous.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The platform's resolution logic is internally contradictory and will create settlement disputes. Polymarket is the only viable venue for this event. Monitor Euroleague's official schedule for any postponements or cancellations before the game date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Resolves to the winning team's name. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: Euroleague Basketball official site.
- Kalshi: Logically broken: states 'If Anadolu Efes SK wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade wins... resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to distinguish winners. No valid settlement path exists.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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