TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 8:19 AM EST
Kalshi
This prediction market asks which team, Kiwoom Heroes or Samsung Lions, will win their KBO baseball game scheduled for September 11th. The market resolves to the winning team, with a 50-50 split if the game is canceled or ends in a tie.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the originally scheduled game. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Cancellations or rescheduling beyond two days result in a fair price resolution. Ties resolve markets to a 50/50 split.
This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Kiwoom Heroes and Samsung Lions, scheduled for September 11 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom Heroes" if the Kiwoom Heroes win the game. This market will resolve to "Samsung Lions" if the Samsung Lions win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kalshi and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Kalshi and Predict can diverge for several reasons, even when tracking the same event. Differences in user base, trading fees, and market-making activity can all contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—currently $46,860 overall—impacts how efficiently information is incorporated into prices. The differing approaches to market design and the specific participants active on Kalshi versus Predict also play a role in shaping the odds observed for the KBO League championship.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, unexpected team performance shifts, and even weather conditions could all influence trading activity. Major news announcements regarding team strategies or player acquisitions could also cause price fluctuations. Any developments affecting the perceived probability of either the Kiwoom Heroes or the Samsung Lions winning the championship have the potential to move this market. Strong performances in upcoming games will likely drive increased volume and price adjustments.