TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of runs scored by both teams in a specific baseball game between the Kiwoom Heroes and NC Dinos. The outcome depends on whether the combined runs exceed certain thresholds. It reflects the anticipated scoring level of the match.
The event evaluates whether the total runs scored by both the Kiwoom Heroes and NC Dinos in their KBO game scheduled for September 27, 2026, at 4:00 AM EDT, exceed specified thresholds of 5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs. Each threshold represents a separate market, and the event resolves to 'Yes' if the combined runs surpass the respective threshold for that market. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not affiliated with the KBO league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
It’s common to see differences between prediction market odds and those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines with a built-in margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, the odds on Kalshi will likely move in the opposite direction. These discrepancies can create opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total runs scored will be over or under 9.5. The price of these contracts reflects the collective probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the market’s expectations for the game’s total runs. The current price indicates the implied probability of exceeding 9.5 runs.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total runs scored in the Kiwoom Heroes versus NC Dinos game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data source, will be used to determine whether the total runs exceeded or fell short of 9.5. Traders holding contracts on the winning side of the market will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding starting pitchers, such as injuries or late scratches, would likely have a significant impact, as pitching quality heavily influences run scoring. Weather conditions at the game location are also crucial; a windy day or potential for rain could affect offensive performance. Finally, any late-breaking news about key hitters being added to or removed from the lineup could also cause the market to shift. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions before Sep 27, 2026.