TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 8:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Kiwoom Heroes and the Lotte Giants, focusing on the margin of victory. Bettors assess whether a team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The result depends entirely on the final score of the scheduled match.
The event evaluates different run-difference thresholds for both teams in a single baseball match. Four separate conditions determine resolution: the Lotte Giants winning by over 2.5 runs, the Lotte Giants winning by over 1.5 runs, the Kiwoom Heroes winning by over 1.5 runs, and the Kiwoom Heroes winning by over 2.5 runs. Each condition corresponds to a distinct market outcome, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves the required run differential in the game originally scheduled for August 4, 2026, at 5:30 AM EDT. If none of these conditions are met, all markets resolve to 'No.' The rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market reflect aggregated trader sentiment on the expected run differential, often showing sharper or more nuanced positioning than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set a fixed spread for public betting, this market lets participants bet on a range of outcomes and can price in additional factors such as roster changes or weather conditions as they develop.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final run difference from the game will determine which contracts settle in this market, based on the official statistics released after the match concludes.
In the coming weeks, key performances from star players, pitching rotations, and bullpen effectiveness could shift this market. Injuries, weather delays, or late-game comebacks might also alter expectations. As Aug 4, 2026 approaches, each game’s result will be closely watched, with trends in win probability and recent head-to-head matchups often driving rapid price adjustments among traders on Kalshi.