TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 5:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between Kiwoom Heroes and KT Wiz on July 9, 2026 will be evaluated based on the combined run total scored by both teams. Bettors can wager on whether the game will exceed various run thresholds.
Resolution is determined by the combined runs scored by both teams in the Kiwoom Heroes vs KT Wiz game scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. The event includes four distinct run-total thresholds: 5.5 runs, 7.5 runs, 9.5 runs, and 11.5 runs. Each threshold is evaluated independently, with resolution to Yes if the combined total exceeds the specified threshold.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets like this one aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. Traders here have direct financial exposure to accuracy, which can surface information faster than traditional oddsmakers. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks reveals whether the crowd is pricing the total runs differently than professional bookmakers, potentially highlighting value or consensus shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different run-total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract trades between 0 and 100 cents, with the price reflecting the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, bids and asks adjust, and the spread between them narrows or widens based on liquidity and conviction. Your entry and exit prices depend on the live order book at the moment you trade.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the Kiwoom Heroes versus KT Wiz game concludes and the final run total is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official game result. At that point, contracts tied to the correct run total are paid out in full, and all other positions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on game completion and official score confirmation.
Lineup announcements, injury reports, and weather conditions at game time are key catalysts that shift odds in this market. Starting pitcher performance history, recent team form, and head-to-head matchup trends also influence trader positioning. Breaking news about player availability or venue factors can trigger sharp repricing. As game time approaches, live updates and pre-game commentary often accelerate trading activity, and once play begins, in-game developments—early runs, pitching changes, momentum swings—drive continuous price adjustments until final resolution.