TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$133,388,117
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 5:30 AM EST
Kalshi
Kiwoom Heroes and KT Wiz face off in a Korea KBO League baseball game scheduled for July 9, 2026. The outcome determines which team wins this regular season matchup.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Kiwoom Heroes vs KT Wiz Korea KBO game originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, the market resolves to a fair price per official rules. In the event of a tie, the market resolves 50/50.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real money on their beliefs about the outcome. Prediction markets typically incorporate information more dynamically and can be more efficient at pricing uncertainty, especially as events unfold. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs, though both reflect legitimate estimates of game probability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers trade contracts directly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of the outcome, ranging from near-zero to near-100. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, causing the price to move in real time. This transparent, auction-style pricing ensures that the market price at any moment represents the marginal trader's assessment of probability.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the game concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the final score and which team wins the matchup. Resolution occurs after official confirmation, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Until that point, prices may continue to shift based on live game developments, team news, or other factors that influence expectations.
Several catalysts can shift this market significantly before the game begins and during play. Roster changes, injury announcements, or lineup adjustments for either team will likely trigger repricing. Recent performance streaks, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage perceptions also influence trader positioning. Once the game starts, live scoring, momentum swings, and in-game injuries can cause rapid price movements. Weather conditions, umpire decisions, and late-breaking news about player availability are additional factors that traders monitor closely as they adjust their positions.