TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 7:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a baseball game between the Kiwoom Heroes and the Doosan Bears, focusing on the margin of victory. Bettors speculate on whether a team will win by a specific number of runs or more. The result depends entirely on the final score of the game.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Kiwoom Heroes vs Doosan Bears game scheduled for September 10, 2026, each defined by the winning team and the margin of victory. Four distinct markets exist: one for the Doosan Bears winning by over 2.5 runs, one for the Doosan Bears winning by over 1.5 runs, one for the Kiwoom Heroes winning by over 1.5 runs, and one for the Kiwoom Heroes winning by over 2.5 runs. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met in the game’s final score. If none of these conditions are satisfied—for example, if the game ends in a tie, the opposing team wins by exactly the run line, or the winning margin falls short of the required threshold—then all markets resolve to 'No'. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis and information. As a result, you might find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from traditional sportsbook offerings, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts closer to the event date.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final spread – the difference in runs scored by each team – will be verified against official game statistics. The market will settle to 100 if the spread matches the contract purchased, and to 0 otherwise. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Kiwoom Heroes or the Doosan Bears would likely cause movement. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to significantly impact the game, could also play a role. Additionally, shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or betting trends, can influence trading activity and therefore the market price. Unexpected performance from either team in preceding games could also affect trader confidence.