TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kilmarnock FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC
Volume:
$41,525
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Scottish Premiership soccer match between Kilmarnock FC and Heart of Midlothian FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Three markets track the possible outcomes: a draw, a Kilmarnock win, and a Hearts win, each resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms define resolution identically: match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations across Polymarket and Kalshi markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Scottish Professional Football League (SPFL) official statistics (https://spfl.co.uk/); credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Kilmarnock win (Yes for Kilmarnock market, No for Hearts and draw markets), Hearts win (Yes for Hearts market, No for Kilmarnock and draw markets), or draw (Yes for draw market, No for Kilmarnock and Hearts markets)
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game: draw market resolves Yes, Kilmarnock win market resolves No, Hearts win market resolves No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
- Cancellation without rescheduling: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the draw market resolves Yes and both win markets resolve No
- Official statistics delay: If SPFL does not publish official final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources
- Scope of play: Resolution covers only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are not included
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on March 14, 2026, with official SPFL statistics expected within 2 hours of final whistleOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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