TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC - More Markets
Volume:
$279,280
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Scottish Premiership/Cup match between Kilmarnock FC and Celtic FC scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets span match outcome (Kalshi), goal totals, both-teams-to-score, and point spreads (Polymarket), all settling on the 90-minute plus stoppage time result.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi specifies Scottish Premiership while Polymarket specifies Scottish Cup for the same date. This creates fundamental ambiguity: if only one fixture occurs on Feb 15, 2026, the platforms may settle different games, rendering cross-platform arbitrage impossible and creating unresolvable conflicts.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms until fixture type is confirmed. Contact both Kalshi and Polymarket to verify: (1) which competition the Feb 15, 2026 match belongs to, (2) official kickoff time in ET, and (3) whether postponement rules differ by platform. If Premiership and Cup are scheduled for different dates, markets may auto-resolve incorrectly.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Resolves on match outcome (Kilmarnock Win, Tie, or Celtic Win) for the Scottish Premiership game on Feb 15, 2026, 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key quote: 'professional Scottish Premiership soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties)'.
- Polymarket: Resolves on goal totals, both-teams-to-score, and spreads for the Scottish Cup game on Feb 15 at 9:00 AM ET, 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Key quote: 'In the upcoming Scottish Cup game between Kilmarnock FC and Celtic FC, scheduled for February 15 at 9:00 AM ET' and 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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