TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Kilmarnock FC vs. Aberdeen FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Kilmarnock FC vs. Aberdeen FC?

Volume:
$14,074

Reg Time: Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 2:47 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,731
N/A
N/A
$3,454
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Kilmarnock FC vs. Aberdeen FC)

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Aberdeen FC

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,686
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Aberdeen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,975
N/A
N/A
$2,926
Settled
No
polymarket

Kilmarnock FC

View
0%
36%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Kilmarnock

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$926
N/A
N/A
$923
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Scottish League Cup soccer match between Kilmarnock FC and Aberdeen FC scheduled for September 12, 2026. Markets exist for Kilmarnock winning, Aberdeen winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellation by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi does not address cancellation, implying indefinite openness.Hero tip: Consider the probability of game cancellation when trading on these markets. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in case of cancellation, while Kalshi does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No mention of cancellation handling. Relies on the game completing within the specified timeframe.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Scotland League Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between Kilmarnock FC and Aberdeen FC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen professional Scottish League Cup soccer match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Kilmarnock resolves the 'Kilmarnock' market to Yes; a win for Aberdeen resolves the 'Aberdeen' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. Extra time or penalty kicks are excluded from consideration. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Kilmarnock vs. Aberdeen match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus around the potential result of this football fixture, with a total volume of $14,074 and 24-hour volume of $9,841. These platforms allow users to trade on their beliefs about the match’s outcome, creating a dynamic prediction market. The dashboard displays the current prices, volume, and the implied probabilities across both venues, offering a comprehensive view of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, as reflected on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and differing incentives. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different markets – such as prop bets – not currently available in this market. The efficiency of this market is driven by traders seeking to profit from perceived mispricings, potentially offering a better reflection of true probabilities.