TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Kiilo Serhii vs. Horokh Roman
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Kiilo Serhii vs. Horokh Roman?

Volume:
$1,186,997

Severino Apollo Gomes

 - Kalshi

Severino Apollo Gomes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 8:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Severino Apollo Gomes

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$630,147
N/A
N/A
$296,711
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Won IL Kwon

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$556,850
N/A
N/A
$350,372
Settled
No
polymarket

Kiilo Serhii vs. Horokh Roman

View
19%
Yes 19¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kiilo Serhii vs. Horokh Roman Total Games O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 1¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kiilo Serhii vs. Horokh Roman Total Games O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 19¢
19¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kiilo Serhii vs. Horokh Roman Game Handicap +/-1.5

View
19%
Yes 19¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kiilo Serhii vs. Horokh Roman Game Handicap +/-1.5

View
19%
Yes 19¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

This group concerns a table tennis match between Kiilo Serhii and Horokh Roman in the Setka Cup Ukraine Men tournament. The markets aim to predict the winner of this match, with specific rules for cancellations, ties, and incomplete matches.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market tracks a completely different event (MMA fight) than the Polymarket market (table tennis match). This makes the Kalshi market irrelevant to the group.Hero tip: Avoid the Kalshi market entirely. It appears to be an error and will not resolve based on the Kiilo Serhii vs. Horokh Roman match.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves to the winner of the Kiilo Serhii vs. Horokh Roman table tennis match, with rules for cancellations, ties, and incomplete matches. 'If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either Won IL Kwon or Severino Apollo Gomes wins their MMA fight. 'If Won IL Kwon wins the Kwon vs Gomes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the table tennis match between Kiilo Serhii and Horokh Roman in Setka Cup Ukraine Men, scheduled for September 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kiilo Serhii' if Kiilo Serhii wins against Horokh Roman. This market will resolve to 'Horokh Roman' if Horokh Roman wins against Kiilo Serhii. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If Won IL Kwon wins the Kwon vs Gomes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Severino Apollo Gomes wins the Kwon vs Gomes professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more accurate assessment of probabilities than traditional sportsbooks. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks may factor in profit margins or biases. The wisdom of the crowd effect tends to produce highly informative odds. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market, and their odds can move based on factors like public betting patterns and news. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights for informed decision-making.

Prices for the Kiilo vs. Horokh match may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity—the volume of trading activity—can also lead to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the platforms may attract different types of traders, with varying levels of expertise or access to information. These factors contribute to the independent price formation observed across prediction markets, even for the same underlying event.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the players' form, injuries, or changes in strategy could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause fluctuations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert opinions, can also influence trading activity. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could shift expectations, and even late-breaking news about weather conditions (if applicable) could play a role in how this market evolves.