TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in England's National League. The result depends solely on who wins the match within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. If the game ends with both teams scoring the same number of goals, it is considered a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Kidderminster versus Hartlepool professional English National League soccer match scheduled for September 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective market if the designated team wins the match within this regulation time. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing strictly on the result at the end of regular time.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, biases, or simply the volume of participants contributing to this market. It's common to see prediction markets react faster to new information than traditional betting venues, as traders continuously update their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy 'yes' contracts (believing the outcome will occur) and ask to sell 'no' contracts (believing it won't). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and the implied probability of a 'yes' outcome rises. Conversely, increased selling pressure on 'yes' contracts lowers the price and probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Kidderminster vs Hartlepool match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the final result. It is important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches, as any unexpected developments could influence the final outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions would likely impact trading activity. Weather conditions on match day could also play a role, particularly if they favor one team's playing style. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment, reflected in sports news or social media, could influence traders' decisions and cause the odds to fluctuate. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.