TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 4:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Kidderminster Harriers FC and Gateshead FC scheduled for September 16, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning, or the game ending in a draw. All markets consider only the first 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming National League game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between Kidderminster Harriers FC and Gateshead FC.
The event resolves based on the result of the Kidderminster versus Gateshead professional English National League soccer match scheduled for September 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome resolves for the specific team market if that team wins the match within this timeframe. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result at the end of regular playing time.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, particularly as more information becomes available. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from continuous trading, allowing odds to adjust rapidly to new developments, unlike sportsbooks which update less frequently. The volume of $41,831 traded on this event demonstrates active participation and potential price discovery.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors, including differing user bases, trading fees, and market-specific liquidity. Polymarket currently favors a draw at 96 percent, while Kalshi leans toward Gateshead winning. These differences can also arise from varying interpretations of available information and risk appetite among traders on each platform. The volume traded on each platform – $41,831 overall – also influences price discovery, with higher volume generally leading to more stable and accurate odds. These nuances highlight the value of aggregating data across multiple prediction markets.