TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 8:40 AM EST
Kalshi
Kia Tigers and SSG Landers will compete in a college baseball match allowing bets on whether the sum of runs will exceed certain levels. The game's final scoring will settle these bets.
Markets resolve to Yes if the Kia Tigers and SSG Landers collectively score more than the specified threshold runs in their college baseball game scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT. Each market corresponds to a different run total threshold (5.5, 7.5, 9.5, or 11.5 runs). Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a particular run total is more or less likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of contracts representing that outcome will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total run outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the expected total runs in the game. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total runs scored in the Kia Tigers versus SSG Landers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as recorded by official KBO league sources, will determine the winning contract. The market will settle to 100 for the correct total runs outcome and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission paid when purchasing the contract.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding starting pitchers, such as injuries or late scratches, would likely have a significant impact. Weather forecasts, particularly the potential for rain delays or strong winds, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game events, like early scoring or defensive errors, could cause rapid adjustments to the market price. Even general public sentiment and analysis from baseball experts could contribute to changes in the KBO total runs market.