TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 8:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either the Kia Tigers or SSG Landers scores at least one run during the first inning of their KBO professional baseball game on July 16, 2026. The outcome depends on early offensive performance in this Korean baseball matchup.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Kia Tigers vs SSG Landers professional Korea KBO baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market allows you to compare your own assessment against the consensus view of active traders. Prediction markets frequently offer sharper, more reactive pricing on specific outcomes like first-inning scoring, especially when new information emerges close to game time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; a share trading at 65 cents implies roughly a 65% chance of that outcome occurring. As new information surfaces or trader conviction shifts, prices adjust in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any point before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, after the opening inning of the Kia Tigers versus SSG Landers game concludes. The outcome is determined by whether at least one run crosses the plate during that inning and is verified against credible public sources such as official league records or major sports data providers. Once the result is confirmed, the market settles automatically and traders receive payouts based on their positions.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before it closes. Lineup announcements, injury updates to key batters or pitchers, and weather conditions at game time all influence first-inning scoring probability. Recent performance trends, head-to-head matchup history, and bullpen availability may also prompt trader repositioning. As the start time approaches, breaking news or last-minute roster changes can trigger sharp price movements, making the final hours before first pitch particularly active for this market.